Thank you very much, great information. 6�� �1^���2Wy����%Y �!�"�#�%#&D'f(�)�*�+�-. Here’s how… If the price is above the 200 day moving average indicator, then look for buying opportunities. This takes 200 trading days into consideration – which is a ton of trading days. Your lessons have been so much inspiring and helping…I cant wait to get on with your Pro package…Much love from Nigeria, Any time frame analyasis for trade in 200 ma, All your teachings makes sense to me thanks Mr rayner, Thank you Rayner. Thank you for presenting it so simple. So you can get signals according to the trend. Even if my trade was incorrectly entered and I’m long instead of short by mistake, I still won’t lose more than 20 pips. I am a newbie located in the UK. It looks like an uptrend with higher highs and lows. I’ll be applying it the way you shared above. how do i buy ? Look for buying opportunities when the price is above it and selling opportunities when the price is below it, You can time your entries by trading at Support and Resistance, Moving Average, or chart patterns, You can trail your stop loss with 200MA and ride massive trends, The 200MA helps you identify the 4 stages of the market so you can better time your entries and exits. You are the best, Superb .. Thank you Rayner. Introduction. Except your wrong about it translating to an 8hr on 2 respects. Love your articles and information! endobj It is a simple forex trading concept, find the trend using 200 EMa, if the price is below 200 exponential moving average, the trend is downtrend. The price doesn’t seem to get out of it’s danger zone fast enough. I utilise a 1% risk across the stoploss. endstream Now when price is above it,its a signal to look for long buying positions, but when price is below it,its a signal to look for a selling positions. The only difference is you look at the last 200 days of price data which gives you a longer-term moving average. is it possible to have here in turkey ? Cheers. Great insights, Mike. This has been my challenge. This tells you the buyer and sellers are in equilibrium and the market is undecided. Thank you Rayner. Also all the charts on Webull show 7 candle wicks per day on the 1-hr chart (if you don’t show extended hours [if you show extended hours it will change depending at which stock you look at, cause not every stock has the same extended hours]). The 200-day simple moving average refers to 200 periods on the daily chart. Just tune in to financial news and you’ll hear stuff like…, “The S&P has broken below the 200 day moving average — it’s a bear market!”, “You should buy when the price cross above the 200 day moving average.”, “Apple just closed below the 200MA — time to sell.”. The Moving Average (MA) is a trading indicator that averages the price data, and it appears as a line on your chart. If it breaks down lower, the downtrend continues (and you can look for shorting opportunities). Best regards from Germany. Kindly look at number 4 – declining stage; I believe you meant the 200MA should be pointing lower and price below it. 200 Day Moving Average: An Explanation Page 5 of 9 Based upon this long term research, it is apparent that the rates of return are similar, yet volatility (or risk as measured by standard deviation per annum) is lower (for the 200 Day Moving Average Strategy) by more than 4% per annum. hello Rayner, it needs to be in same trend of 200 EMA for h4 and d1 time frame, if i want to make entry on h4 time frame? I have been following yoy for quite some time now. thanks for this good works, am ambled. At this point, you’ll see the price below the 200MA and the 200MA starts to point lower. <>>> The 200-day simple moving average of prices is one of the most popular stock market signals and backtesting shows since the year 2000 it has worked best as an end of month signal. Hello Ryner, perfect, which book sould i buy to have this topic in it ? The bone shall rise again. This means you can use it to identify and trade with the long-term trend. If you enter on H4, it pays if it’s aligned with the Daily timeframe too. Looking forward to seeing more from you, Mr.Rayner. 50 Pips a Day Forex Strategy PDF (Free Download) for Traders. Web Coated (SWOP) v2 text Copyright 2000 Adobe Systems, Inc. XYZ �Z �g �0mft2 $�i� Now the concept is the same for the 200 day moving average. Here’s how to plot 200 day moving average (on TradingView): And here’s how it looks like: A 200 day moving average chart. Thanks for providing Pro tips. ���� JFIF x x ��}ICC_PROFILE �pADBE prtrCMYKLab � ) 5acspAPPL ADBE �� �-ADBE Nice explanation God bless you 2. And the first sign of weakness is in a distribution stage. Stress free. I really like your explanations and I’m learning (little by little). Any other suggestions. At this point, you’ll see the price above the 200MA and the 200MA starts to point higher. It forms a line on the chart. �c�rf��*�#�h\���f]��J�0s�x�n���1���@*.�WC@*n���\�=]ç�e~��qrs��L�O��9�X���x�ٓL��:�����u2�br�$_���Y�H31� |��7C8�e���1e���r��v�ym s���}�V But you don’t have to worry about it because the concept is the same (only the way it’s calculated is slightly different). This was very worthwile, Thank you Rayner. https://www.tradingwithrayner.com/set-stoploss/, https://www.tradingwithrayner.com/2-how-to-know-when-is-the-best-time-to-exit-your-trades/. But there were plenty of false-positive signals along the way. Let me know if you can share some insights with me. RSI(14) indicator has recently shown and oversold reading of 30 or below. This means if you’re long, then you’ll only exit the trade when the price closes below the 200MA. You shall be my mentor. Thank you so much. All rights reserved. Thank you Rayner. 1. indicator oliver velez sma. “Okay it’s not difficult to identify the trend. In favor of this are two arguments. }@A�B�C�D�E�F�G�H�I�J�K�L�M�N�O�P�Q�R�S�T�U�V�W�X�Y�Z�[�\�]�^�_�`�a�c dee�f�g�h�i�j�k�l�m�n�o�p�q�r�s�t�u�v�w�x�y�z�{�|z}o~dX�M�A�5�)������ۈʉ��������q�`�N�=�,�� When that happens, your best bet is to move on to another market which makes more sense. How I Use the 200 Day Moving Average. If I trade on M15 or H1, should I just look at 20MA or 50MA? ta James. endobj Maybe, I will benefit from the gorgeous entries you are talking about during the early hours in EU hours. So in an uptrend, you can look for a Bull Flag pattern and buy the break of the highs. Some of us have equity that only allows for intraday trading, I find that when/if I enter a trend using all you’ve explained, I don’t know how to exit or when to exit within the same day. I try … I can choose to go long or short in either case . I didn’t listen to you! I finally have a light at the end of the long dark tunnel I’ve been blindly crawling through. I’m new to trading at 64 years old, but reading your articles has given my confidence a great boost. This 200MA apply to all such as force,crypto and shares? Profit target should be at least 2risk, best of luck all and thanks Rayner for posting, Which moving average help to day trading?if you can plzz make a video or write a article about it…….anyway thank you so much sir..i studied many things from you❤️, i just recieved the pullback book last thursday…thanks sir my trade last friday 3profit 1loss using your pullback strat…thanks. 1. 2 0 obj 1. Moving Averages are used widely by traders on their price action charts because they can track and identify trends by smoothing the markets fluctuations. If the Pullback Stock Trading System goes for free, why do we still to pay a printed version to be delivered and not distribute through a downloadable PDF copy? It’s a sign of strength as the buyers are in control and the sellers have difficulty pushing the price lower (that’s why you have small bodied candles on the pullback). Rule #4- Dot must be below price candle AND moving averages cross to where 20 period MA is above 40 period MA. stream Lee the good work Rule #3- Another element that must occur is the moving averages must cross over. You’ll see the 200MA flatten and the price might “whipsaw” around it. So if the S&P 500 is above the 200 day moving average, then look for buying opportunities on US stocks. Your No BS advice has helped me so much. But on 5 minutes I always find 1-3 trades between 8-11am New York time. I am so grateful for your advise and teachings. As many of you know, world famous Oliver Velez uses the simple 20 and 200 simple moving averages on 2 min time frame with price actions above or below these key SMAs for day/scalp trading involving narrow state versus wide state trend or anti-trend methods. You are the real deal! One frequently used alternative to the 200-day SMA is a 255-day moving averagethat represents the trading for the previous year. A short moving average (e.g., 3-period) is almost like price itself and adds little to your analysis. 1 0 obj Stop loss will be placed at the recent swing low. But if it breaks higher, then it’s the start of an uptrend which brings us to the next stage…. 5 minute let’s me get out of the market after a couple hours of trading and not worry about what happens overnight. Rer xzzzyuph^RE7)4=@? aforementioned interpretation of the moving average to analyze the chart as it may be better to apply another periods for Moving Averages. I am sure this should be a better distribution channel and environmental friendly. endobj When price chops around a moving average, we can usually find a trading range. The major aim is to leave something physical in the world more like a legacy. This simple technique will increase your winning rate and reduce your drawdown. These 3 moving averages are natural limits on price adjustments. I would add that if you are buying the break up stops should be placed below the last MAJOR swing low before price moved up to cross the 200, vice versa for sells. There’s no best MA to look at irrespective of the timeframe. A moving average can be a very effective indicator. That applies to all time frames I might trade, although 5 minute is my current favorite. Many traders use exponential moving averages, an effective type of moving average indicator, to trade in a variety of markets. It depends on your goals and what you want to use the indicator for. This is how a 200-day moving average … if u use the 200ma on the dax german30 it was well under the 200 ma before x mas so i shorted but it did the opposite it went up from jan till now making 200ma not very usefull have a look at chart. Using a short term moving average along with a long term average, is a strategy that many traders use. 3. The best flag pattern to trade is when the price just broke out of a range (usually the first pullback). 2. Thanks one more for the selfless service. hello sir your learning strategies are usefull to me and demonstrate into trading thank you. Your teachings are quite spectacular. And in a downtrend, look for a Bear Flag pattern and short the break of the lows. In an accumulation stage, the market could break out in either direction. (/H0i1�2�3�4�5�7859Q:m;��?�AB)CBD\EuF�G�H�I�J�LM,NCOYPoQ�R�S�T�U�V�X Y#Z:[Q\f]x^�_�`�a�b�c�d�fgh#i3jBkRl^mgnqozp�q�r�s�t�u�v�w�x�y�z�{�|�}�~�ˀɁǂŃ����������������������{�p�d�X�L�@�3�&�������֜ȝ��������|�j�W�E�3� �����תū������}�k�Y�G�6�$�� ���ڷȸ������~�k�Y�G�5�"���������ŵƣǑ�~�l�Y�D�.������оѧҐ�y�a�I�1�� ����ڲۘ�}�b�G�,��������{�W�3�������q�H�������v�U�3��������s�I��������a�)�����\����Z�� ��,��� I didn’t listen to you! Your effort to share and prepare these materials and supporting advice shall not go unnoticed! While there is no best period for moving averages — it all depends on the market condition and your style of trading — the 50-day moving average seems to work very well in most markets when there is a good trend. The declining stage occurs when the price breaks down of the distribution stage. As long as a stock price remains above the 200-day SMA on the daily time frame, the stock is generally considered to be in an overall uptrend. as im still learning u will be my personal mentor somewhere this year. Great guide.i find out very informative.thats why many had envy you and even discredit in some of the review online and saying that you are a joke and scam. When the Index falls below its 200 Day SMA, it is a warning sign that a long-term negative trend could develop. So i can see in smaler units of time well pullbacks and enter the short term. 200 EMA is very important technical tool to identify market trend. Please how do I trail with the 200MA, Do I have to measure from current price to the 200MA and trail with the points in the measurement? Support — an area on your chart where potential buying pressure could step in. Super I m learning more from you thank you. ���֖�b:� ��^����@��L�m�)ꮵ�n>�03�����6��Vڭbg�3ʋ�K}�zOA�_ ��U#O��l}-P��N.�:AL���,HzKf�@�۴�ŕ_\�� If this is art then you are a gallery. 10-40 pips a day is all I look for. endobj Keep it up! The advancing stage occurs when the price breaks out higher of the accumulation stage. In a long trade, the 40 period moving average will cross and go below the 20 period moving average. Moving Average Strategy #5: Using Moving Average for Taking Profits. The Ascending Triangle is a bullish chart pattern. Thank you very much for this … . Lots of love It looks like a range market with obvious Support & Resistance. A long moving average(e.g., 200-period) lags too much and does not help day traders to be nimble. But don’t worry, we’re going to change all that. I’ll demo for two more months, then go live on a small account. Take profit will be a 2X multiple of the stop loss. :4 ,!#"#$$�%�&�'�(�)�*�+�,�-�.�/|0p1d2Y3M4A566+7!89: :�;��?�@�A�B�C�D�E�F�G�H�I�J�K�L�M�N�O�P�Q�R�S�T�U�V�W�X�Y�Z�[�\�]�^�_�`�a�b�c�d�e�f�g�h�i�j�k�l�m�n�o�p�q�r�s�t�u�v�w�x�y�z�{�||}v~oi�a�Z�Q�H�>�5�+�!��������؎͏Ð��������������x�p�j�c�^�Y�U�R�P�O�O�P�R�U�Y�_�f�n�x�����������̰߱� � �8�Q�l�����»��!�C�e��ª������9�^ɂʦ������2�T�tҔӲ�������6�L�a�t݇ޘߧ���������������������o�X�\�[�V�L�=�*����������b�/�����f����M���q�� �� T� � 9 0 obj My man you really know your stuff, as a newbie this has been an eye opener for me…as someone who just started out, having you on my corner its gonna be fast learning trip, This is very simple and easy to follow… I love the way you teach. So each daily candle on the daily chart has a closing cost that isn’t equal to the average of the 7hr closing candles within that given trading day. <> endobj Rayner, your explanations are great, but you didn’t give an explanation on how to exit for intraday traders. I’ve also backtested and found that descending triangle break out at major supports in the higher side gives great upward moves ! I tried 200EMA strategy on “30mins”time frame for Intraday trading 7 0 obj On my mt4,I go to settings,click on the(f)sign,scroll through and select MA. And that’s where the market transit back to stage 1 — the accumulation stage. desc � tcprt p +wtpt � A2B0 � �A2B2 � �A2B1 �� �B2A0 E� 8�B2A1 ~t 8�B2A2 �( 8�gamt �� ��desc U.S. Instead, it toys on your emotion and causes you to buy/sell at the wrong time. Then started Demoing again, what a difference. It’s a sign of strength as the buyers are willing to buy at higher prices (despite coming into Resistance). 25 if the market really wants to teach me a lesson. If yes, kindly share and explain how to use it. Trading forex was like a nightmare and mirage to me. Learn a powerful position trading strategy that can boost your profits and trading confidence. There’s no best timeframe because it doesn’t exist. I use the 200 on the 5 minute chart. I miss gorgeous entries that make 70 pips while sleeping and trade the scraps at the end of the EU trading day. Thanks! Thanks so much for taking the time to share these tips with us Rayner. ������}tfUA, �!�"�#�$�%z&d'N(9)%**�+�,�-�.�/�0�1y2g3U4D526"788�9�:�;��?�@}AoBbCUDIE. If a stock is below the 200 day moving average, I'll only use it for short-term scalp trades on both the long and short sides. You get higher probability trades when the 200MA also coincides with nearby Support/Resistance. 6 0 obj But I don’t plan on trading at 4am so it is what it is. I’m a newby still doing Demo Account. 8 0 obj Ok traders, here are the rules of this trading strategy: STEP1: first, place 200ema on your daily chart. A 200MA on the 1-hour timeframe is simply an 8MA on the daily timeframe (200 / 24). <> 5 minute allows me to enter with 10-50 pip potential, and I never lose more than 10 pips on a good trade that failed. Sometimes it’s not clear which stage the market is in. Your technings was super and good warking also easy to read. We appreciate your attention and understanding on the matter. What you mentioned is for a Daily Trade pattern for Long term. If the price is below the 200 day moving average indicator, then look for selling opportunities. Includes: The 200 Day Moving Average Video Course (one-hour video training + 68 page PDF presentation) Instructor: Jerry Robinson You are very genuine, and the best by far! And it’s thanks to you I even have a strategy! This is the final stage of the market cycle. Thank you reyner, you make things so simple and easy to understand, you are an expert. Thank you so much. The 200 day moving average is just the average of the prices of the last 200 days on a certain asset. And in a downtrend, look for a Descending Triangle and short the breakdown. can we use 200EMA strategy on “30mins”time frame for Intraday trading i.e. Hello Rayner, your write-ups on Moving Average and others, have been helpful. As for the type of moving average, we are going with exponential. Stay blessed Rayner… I am your fan…, Can 200MA be used in the 1hr chart/ for short term trades? Rayner, you are truly a blessing to all traders that are beginning and Confused!!! Keep it up and you will surely have many million followers pretty soon. 2. The 200 day moving average (MA) is one of the most followed indicators. Especially when I read your articles talking about 4 hour chart etc. Thanks for giving us this value for free Rayner. I do find it frustrating though that many big moves seem to happen between 4-6am during EU trading hours while I’m asleep. ������Z}�4t*yt��F���GM���[�jC+�-˛e�PU��j��]u����[*D�a�;���dE���z �����DN�iN�-_,����h��5�U��"�v�"�~��[;NN���f�ShW������vU��5A�b�h�92���[�������K&�x��-����kE�w����D�-r���e�mkB �rŜ����6�zil�^ �b�>V�dG���б)t���Aݺ�Kv����{c 7��{�syE�o�$��v���˲��'GI��w;y ���]�ڇSwW��Q�S��8�K�m ��`8 ���'�@������nG��D$�2�[H���� ������������ �!�"�#�$�%�&�'�(�)�*�+�,�-�.�/�0�1�2�3�4�5678�9�:;~|? And one way is to trail your stop loss with the 200-day moving average. It looks like a range market in an uptrend and you’ll see the 200MA flatten and the price might “whipsaw” around it. Moving averages are a frequently used technical indicator in forex trading, especially over 10, 50, 100, and 200 day periods. Eventually, sellers would come in to push the price lower. Very many thanks sir i am just the learner investing takes time for me as begginer.. Even in smaller time units, i allways pay attention to the 200 day Ema to identify the main trend. If it breaks out higher, the uptrend continues (and you can continue to look for buying opportunities). God Bless! I used 200EMA but again it doesn’t matter, the concept is what matters. Hi, coach Rayner (yes, I’m claiming you as my coach LOL). I have been off and on trading but I decided to full stick to it and I feel lucky to come across this website. In the advancing stage, the path of least resistance is towards the upside, so you want to be a buyer (not a seller). You’ll notice the price approach the 200MA and then “bounce” away — and this presents an opportunity to enter the markets. Awesome you as mentor thanks, Very easy to understand. TradingwithRayner. Can we use the 200ma for one hour timeframe. It moves from a range to trend, trend to range, and etc. I often toy with the idea of adopting longer term strategies. Trade other timeframes besides the Daily. © Copyright 2021. If the price is above the 200 day moving average indicator, then look for buying opportunities. Thank you Mr Rayner, I have learnt alot following your tutorials and updates. If you want to ride medium-term trends, you can trail with the 50MA. If you’re trading stocks, you can refer to the index to get your trend bias. Double EMA (Exponential Moving Average) crossover strategy is easy and profitable. You have being a lovely development to Forex Trading, its bunch of beginner and even the professionals that still holds their Trading fundamentals very essential. First, 200/24 does not equal 8. x��XKo�8���Q,64ߤ��@^]�hi���TEq�u�TQ���3�#v�(���A,q8~~�j�_V�e�V�ݻ�~U%�UvA�g˪Z^����d��d�I�/������!98�Nf�qM�.�A8� �$�R�ȯ�N����trI��"N��9J�i��%�ъ��(GqA���Aa�ں#�**Q�Pa�N���@���c�'�o����5A��*G�e�|'g���cXA� But entering a 4 hour chart signal I could lose 100 pips if I’m wrong, and usually the 4 hour signal that attracts me doesn’t show up when I’m looking at the chart. I becoming a better and consistently profitable trader. If you want to ride massive trends in the market (the kind that gets other traders drooling), then you must give your trade room to “breath”. The illustration below shows the history of the S&P 500® Total Return Index and its 200 day simple moving average. Tom in Dublin. Thanks. They tend to seek out the most complex strategies possible with the expectation that the more rules there are, the more successful 200 EMA FOREX TRADING STRATEGY RULES. Thanks for showing me the light on the 200 day moveing average i learn so much, moving 200ema can used H4 time frame or not sir. Most of the time the 200 DMA acts a support for prices. If you want to ride short-term trends, you can trail with the 20MA. thank you Rayner for sharing your knowledge to many novice trader like me. The 20 SMA line uses different colors to indicate whether it is going up or down. Now, there are different types of moving average like exponential, simple, weighted, etc. Hi Rayner. [13] Boonkrong and Thapanapong wrote a conference paper about the study of dual moving average crossover trading strategies comparing simple versus exponsential moving averages for … You the best teacher of the market My opinion is that most day traders tend to over think when trading. The 200MA forms part of my trading strategy conditions – but when price is above, sell when it’s below. In some books Ascending triangle is mentioned as bearish and vice versa . As this is a trendy strategy, so success rate of this strategy is excellent. See if its and uptrend or a downtrend. But when is the right time to enter a trade?”. It looks like a downtrend with lower highs and lows. {"email":"Email address invalid","url":"Website address invalid","required":"Required field missing"}, The 200 Day Moving Average Strategy Guide, The Monster Guide to Candlestick Patterns, The 5 Types of Forex Trading Strategies That Work, The Support and Resistance Trading Strategy Guide, The Moving Average Indicator Strategy Guide, The Complete Guide to Finding High Probability Trading Setups. �r|rH�%�"O?��w��& :�1Ru�p3 I will try it out for a while and journal my progress and take it from there. Or if the price is below it, you can look for selling opportunities at Resistance. was 1.52 and the simple moving average had an average absolute difference of 1.69. This crossover strategy is based on 200 and 15 EMA. One of the popular crossovers is a golden cross of the 50 and 200 average or the alligator indicator but virtually any periods can be useful. My humble regards to all your splendid works! The Monster Guide to Candlestick PatternsThe Price Action Trading Strategy GuideThe Best Trading Books of All TimeThe 5 Best Trend Indicators That WorkThe 5 Types of Forex Trading Strategies That WorkThe Support and Resistance Trading Strategy GuideThe Moving Average Indicator Strategy GuideThe Complete Guide to Finding High Probability Trading SetupsHow Much Money Can You Make from Trading?Swing Trading Strategies That Work, Rayner Teo is an independent trader, ex-prop trader, and founder of TradingwithRayner.He is the most followed trader in Singapore with more than 100,000 traders reading his blog every month...Continue reading. The 200 day moving average also plays an important role in my stock selection process. Because in today’s post, you’ll discover…. As a very long-term moving average, the 200-day SMA is often used in conjunction with other, shorter-term And when you “string” together these 5-period MA values together, you get a smooth line on your chart. Living in South Africa the end of day New York charts is midnight for us. And if the price is above moving average, then the trend is uptrend. As long as the S&P 500 is above its 200-day moving average, buy … Or if you’re short, then exit the trade only when the price closes above the 200MA. For a 200 day MA strategy, I would not trail my trade with the 200, as most of your earnings will be eaten by the time it crosses the 200 to exit. Thanks Rayner. (day trading) but I observed If you miss correct entry time then It nothing worthful. Thanks Rayner you taught me a lot. What is the preferred time frame of 200 MA for intraday and Swing trading ? <>/XObject<>/Pattern<>/ProcSet[/PDF/Text/ImageB/ImageC/ImageI] >>/MediaBox[ 0 0 595.32 841.92] /Contents 4 0 R/Group<>/Tabs/S/StructParents 0>> The login page will open in a new tab. So, the 5-period MA is [100 + 90 + 95+ 105 +100] / 5 = 98. %PDF-1.5 A moving average is a Most moving average strategies are focused on following trends and it is fundamentally different from setting a predefined arbitrary profit target like 100 pips or 200 pips based on your reward to risk ratio expectations. Pullback trading (return to the mean) can be used with moving averages as a gauge to market momentum and zones of trading opportunity. Let’s assume over the last 5 days, Apple shares closed at 100, 90, 95, 105, and 100. Three reasons why I wasn’t successful in trading. The 200 day simple moving average is a good indicator of long-term trends. Am still learning. Just want to know whether you have a webinar so we do analysis together, i am using 200 MA in my trading system its very useful thank you rayner. However, most Common time periods for Moving averages whether using a single or couple or triple moving averages are 9, 10, 13, 18, 20 and 21 for short term scale, 40, 55 and 89 for Thank you Rayner for existing. The 50 200 day Moving Average Crossover Strategy is one of the most commonly used trading methods applied by both professional as well as part time traders.If you watch any financial news channels, chances are that when the professional traders speak, they often refer to the 50 day and 200 day moving averages, which only goes to show how important these two moving averages are. Remember, there is only about 252 [2] trading days in a year, so the 200-day SMA is a big deal. Please log in again. i would like to know how to set a stop loss and take profit once you enter a trade at support/resistance level with price above or below 200MA and what time frame is suitable for this strategy also is a 200 SMA or 200 EMA, You can check out this post on stop loss… https://www.tradingwithrayner.com/stop-loss-order/. Your unconditional sharing helps us a lot and made our trading better than before.
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